Yes dear, the Exeter based research team suggest that natural shifts in climate will counteract the effects of human activity & greenhouse gas emissions but after that the temperatures will rise more abruptly. Over the decade, the overall global average temperature is expected to increase by 0.3C & after 2010 each year has at least a 50% chance of exceeding the global temperature record currently set by 1998. After 2014 the chances of breaking the record rise even further.
This model follows one released by the National Centre for Atmospheric Research in Colorado focusing on the polar ice caps, which suggested that after 2025 a positive feedback loop could kick in as Arctic ice continued to melt: As the ice retreats, the ocean transports more heat to the Arctic & the open water absorbs more sunlight, further accelerating the rate of global warming & leading to the loss of more ice. Scientific opinion is moving away from the model of steady incremental increases in temperature & now le
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Yes ,according to Professor Chris Folland, of the Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, "We are likely to see more global warming than we have seen in the past few years, which have been rather cool. In fact, we are already seeing it."
Since the Pacific is a heat reservoir that drives wind patterns around the world, the change in its temperature alters global weather. An El Nino is defined by ocean surface temperatures rising by more than 0.5 degrees Celsius above the average. This El Nino is well beyond that, according to the Climate Prediction Center of the US National Weather Service. "Sea surface temperatures remain +0.5 to +1.5 above average across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean," the centre reported last week. Observations and dynamical model forecasts indicate El Nino conditions will continue to intensify and are expected to last through the northern hemisphere winter of 2009-10. . Yes, from the above it is obvious Drought has to be faced in 2010