With a close watch on the prevailing circumstances you can predict both the results at a 90% accuracy. Only the remaining 10% is unpredictable in both the cases.Take the example of yesterday's match. Once the toss is won ny Australia, they have won 25% and after posting 350 another 70% and India has only 5% chances then. The dismissal of Gambhir , Yuvraj and Dhoni in quick succession tilt the scale further and even though Sachin done a brilliant thing it is always on the card once he or Raina departs It is Australia. Same is true of the stock market. After the heavy selling for profit during the last week and early this week , the market will swing appreciably with current buying and since even at 15000 , sensex is overpriced we have to pay caution in buying speculative stocks for long time holding.So with a little caution we can almost predict both at 90% accuracy at the half way mark.