Great Recession, then Great Inflation?
by Mark Thirlwell - 4 June 2009 6:09PM
The bond market vigilantes are back, and theyre worried about inflation. (Although see Menzie Chinn for some perspective.) Germanys Chancellor, Angela Merkel, is worried too, recently expressing her alarm at policies being pursued by the Fed and the Bank of England, and even by the more cautious ECB. China, meanwhile, is nervous about the value of its US investments and is expressing doubts about the future of the greenback. And Ben Bernanke is taking the bond markets jitters to heart and is stressing the need to manage long-term fiscal sustainability.
Do burgeoning levels of public debt and quantitative easing by central banks herald an inflationary future?
At first and actually at second glance, worrying about inflation right now seems pretty strange. After all, havent we just seen dramatic falls in activity across much of the developed world (at least, outside Australia)? Remember, the US ec
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