As reports most parts in India so far received only less than 50% of the normal rain fall in this monsoon season. Will the coming months make good this deficiency judging the fact that predictions of our IMD did not deviate too badly in the last many years? Your views?
I would say they have quite close to what is the actual situation of shortfall in the Monsoon rains in India. Rainfall in the country was 18% lower than what is still normal for the last week of June. With the monsoon system stalled over the southeastern part of the country while the crucial agricultural belts of central and eastern India remain starved of their normal weekly quota of rainfall. Lower than expected rainfall on the western coast also ensured that Junes overall shortfall was 29% which is the lowest since 2009. IMD has said that the monsoon is unlikely to venture into central India in the coming week. So, if the Monsoon rains dont revive in the next two weeks then it would be a real matter of concern for all as the crops would suffer affecting the economy quite badly!!